Common Sense

All the numbers aren’t in yet, but it seems like a very good night for Democrats. I was clearly conservative in my estimate of how many House seats the Dems would pick up. When I left Austin, Missouri’s Senate race seemed like a goner and now McCaskill has pulled it off. Thanks in large part to the stem cell issue on the ballot.

It’s looking a lot like Montana will go to Democrat Jim Tester.

And Virginia, which is down to the wire, looks like it might go to Webb. I wasn’t sure Virginia was still in the realm of possibility, but its still very possible.

Of course, it didn’t take a “Boy Genius” to see that this was going to be a bad year for Republicans nationwide. Here in Texas, it is a different story. I made some very optimistic Dem predictions. Chris Bell didn’t win. I thought he would either win by 3 or lose by 10. I was right, he lost by 10.

I also said Gilbert would win Ag Commissioner by 2 or 3. Right now, Staples lead 55-42 with 89% of precincts reporting.

I said Mary Beth Harrell would win TX-31 by 2-4 thousands votes. Well, she’s trailing by 59-39 with 80% reporting. Obviously, that one isn’t quite over but I still think it will be a squeaker either way. That might be the champagne talking, though.

I said Chet would win by 15%, and that I was being nice to the Taylor people when I made that pick. With 87% reporting in, Chet has won by 20. Just call me Kreskin.

Not as prescient as I thought in some of my own state elections. But it doesn’t matter, because Nancy Pelosi is now the Speaker of the House and MSNBC mentioned that Hillary Clinton could be the Senate Majority Leader should Montana and Virginia go to us.

As for Joe Lieberman, he’s not going to lose his next election 6 years from now by caucusing with the Republicans and the Democrats won’t try to block a committee chairmanship with him and screw themselves after a big night.